This alert expired on 15 July 2026 at 23:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 14th strongest of the 19 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 4 July 2026. 4 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued July 15 at 6:08PM EDT until July 15 at 7:15PM EDT by NWS Upton NY
An estimated 65,282 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 17 March 2026
- July 4, 2026 · score 43 · 9.2 km
- June 7, 2026 · score 43 · 9.3 km
- July 18, 2026 · score 52 · 17.3 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 39 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 39 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 81% |
| Coordinates | 40.1308, -73.5202 |
| Nearest City | Asbury Park (43 km) |
| Population Exposed | 65.3K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-15T22:08:00.000Z |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Special Marine Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 NM; Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 NM; Waters from Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY from 20 to 60 NM; Waters from Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 to 60 NM; Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 NM; Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 NM; Waters from Sandy Hook NJ to Manasquan Inlet NJ from 20 to 40 NM; Waters from Manasquan Inlet NJ to Little Egg Inlet NJ from 20 to 60 NM |
| Headline | Special Marine Warning issued July 15 at 6:08PM EDT until July 15 at 7:15PM EDT by NWS Upton NY |
| Expires | 2026-07-15T19:15:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Upton NY |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.31813a104627894d367ee24c769fa5ad241a68c5.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.23b74b2852a7209c844f62fc48786108cb0b2807.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 39/100, near Asbury Park (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 191 scientific monitoring sources.